For this review, I have banded the Premier League Teams into three groups: championship contenders, mid table prospects, and wooden spoon material. They are presented alphabetically within each group rather than in any predicted order.
A championship contender will require a number one rider, three genuine heat leaders and some strength down the order. They will require all their team to at least ride to their average and two or three to improve dramatically.
Championship Contenders
Edinburgh Monarchs
The Monarchs line-up was settled some time ago. They have managed to track three genuine heat leaders (Peter Carr, James Grieves, Kevin Little) who should be capable of scoring points home and away. Monarchs have true number one in Peter Carr and arguably James Grieves also comes in this category. Carr suffered from injuries and an bike that wouldn't gate last year but was in top form towards the end of the season. I will be surprised if he averages less than ten points. James Grieves should also increase his average to between nine and ten points given his outstanding Armadale form. Kevin Little ought to be able to achieve a modest increase maybe up to nine points if things go well.
Monarchs have two useful looking second
strings in Stewart McDonald and Blair Scott. McDonald looked the part as
heat leader with Glasgow in 1997 and always rode Armadale well. He is probably the
key rider for Monarchs and will be looking for a seven and half point return. Scott
is also looking to put on a couple of points.
The two Monarchs reserves are probably more experienced
than many in the Premier League this year. David McAllan rode a full season with Berwick
and Newcastle and finished marginally ahead of his 3.00 starting average. Ross Brady
had several outings with Peterborough and as a guest with Berwick. He only
completed 5 Premier League meetings which is just as well as he was averaging
4.29!
Prospects: Monarchs should be championship
contenders provided that the team can avoid the mechanical disasters of
1998 and Stewart McDonald can recapture his Glasgow form.
Newport Wasps
Newport have three genuine heat leaders,
one excellent second string in Scott Pegler but not much else. Craig Watson
and Frank Smart should be capable of scoring points anywhere and Henriksson
is should also be up to standard. Chris Neath showed some encouraging signs
last year but Andrew Appleton and Bobby Eldridge remain unproven at this level but could yet prove to be match winners.
Prospects: Certainly good for mid table
and will be real championship material if a couple of their tail-enders progress.
Swindon Robins
A very strong team with Cunningham and
Masters at the top and assisted by the under-rated Neil Collins. They have good second
strings in Krister Marsh and Oliver Allen and some experience at reserve with David Mason.
Prospects: Definite championship contenders.
They have a fair top end and strength in depth. The parallels with Peterborough
last year are there to be seen. Masters looks the weak link at the top end and Collins will need to regain some of his own form.
Mid-table Prospects
Exeter Falcons
A typical Exeter team built around a strong
top four of Michael Coles, Peter Jeffery, Mark Simmons and Graeme Gordon.
The bottom end looks rather thin on experience.
Prospects: Some have seen Exeter as championship
contenders although unanswered questions remain. The key issue is who is
going to score points away from home consistently apart from Michael Coles.
Last year the Falcons had Frank Smart to help out and the year before they
also had Leigh Lanham on board. They will probably win most if not all
of their home matches but could struggle away. They remain excellent prospects
for the knock-out tournaments such as the National Trophy, the Cup, and the Young Shield.
Glasgow Tigers
Tigers now have a stadium and have a complete
team. They look solid if unspectacular. Tigers appear to have gone with
a dual number one line-up with two heat leaders, three good second strings
and two reserves. The team has strength in depth and the reserves are likely
to be above average. If there is a weakness, it will be in the third heat
leader spot where neither Sean Courtney nor Will Beveridge looks quite
the part.
Prospects: Tigers might be outside contenders
for the title if someone rises to the challenge of taking the third heat
leader role. The late start at Ashfield is unlikely to help Tiger's cause since they
will have no real home advantage for weeks. The introduction of a genuine third heat leader with the first issue of green sheets could make the Tigers a very strong team for the latter part of the season.
Reading Racers
Reading have an excellent, strong all-round
team with one glaring hole. That is the third heat leader place. Dave Mullet
and Petri Kokko are two of the top riders from last year. Had Vesa Ylinen been
recruited this problem would have been dealt with.
Paul Clews and Phil Morris look two of the better
second strings around and their reserves look promising.
Prospects: With Vesa Ylinen or another good third
heat leader (not easy to get on the points available), Reading would be sure fire
championship contenders. However with Phil Morris being promoted and Justin
Elkins coming in a second string, a good mid table place appears more likely.
Workington Comets
The top two of Carl Stonehewer and Brent Werner are
excellent although I suspect that Grant MacDonald or Peter Scully will struggle
in the third heat leader position. James Birkinshaw has some way to go
to convince as a second string so a lot will depend on the two reserves. Geoff Powell
certainly has experience but the Mark Blackwell in the other reserve is unproven.
Prospects: While any team containing Stonehewer and Werner can never be taken lightly, the team has a top heavy look to it. At this stage mid table is the best estimate I can come up with, but they could easily prove me wrong.
Isle of Wight Islanders
They have a strength in depth side with
few weaknesses although two of their heat leaders are perhaps a bit lightweight.
Prospects: As with Exeter they will be difficult
to beat at home but may travel badly. In order to challenge for the title,
they will need to have Neville Tatum back to his best and major progress from
their reserves.
Newcastle Diamonds
Newcastle have three good heat leaders
and a sound second string in Paul Gould. While Robert Eriksson is carrying
a crippling average of 9.61 (only Stonehewer, Mullett, and Cunningham are
higher) from his 1997 campaign, both Jesper Olsen and David Walsh appear
to have rather low averages for their ability.
Newcastle's failure to sign David Meldrum
is a major blow although Derrol Keats might prove to be an able replacement.
They have recently signed Anthony Barlow who has been around for some years but failed to make a breakthrough.
Prospects: A mid table side unless Jesper Olsen can
ride to his best consistently and David Walsh can regain his old Glasgow form. They remain outside contenders for the championship if Olsen and Walsh can deliver but look weak at the bottom end.
Sheffield Tigers
Many good things have been written about
this years' Tigers team. They have a very strong top five and fair reserves.
Some doubts remain about how Sean Wilson will adapt to the Premier League
and can Scott Smith return to his past form. Andre Compton looks a good
prospect as third heat leader but he has disappointed before. Simon Stead and
Paul Lee are possibly the best second string pairing in the Premier League.
Prospects: On paper they should be championship contenders
but they fail to convince me. Away form, particularly on small tracks is likely
to prove cruicial and I cannot see Scott Smith hacking it away from Owlerton.
Mid table may be a more realistic prospect but should be a good bet for the cup or the
Young Shield play-offs.
Wooden spoon material
Arena Essex
Arena were very late getting their team together
and have suffered from this. The decision of Colin White to remain and that of Troy Pratt
to return from retirement have helped. The top two are strong but they still have
a 'hole' to fill at second string which may yet be taken by Justin Elkins dependent on events at Reading. Matt Read will be very useful at reserve
until the first green sheets when Roger Lobb will probably replace him.
Prospects: It is still difficult to call with one
place to fill but unless the promotion can pull a rabbit out of the hat they will
probably be thankful that Berwick appear to be back. Otherwise the Hammers could well
have faced a battle with Stoke to avoid the wooden spoon.
Berwick Bandits
Berwick are close to completing their 1999 team. Scott Lamb, David Meldrum, Jan Pedersen and Wesley Waite were the initial core of the team. The loss of riders such as Peter Scully and the
failure to pick up Robert Eriksson, Scott Courtney, and Ross Brady could cost Berwick dear. Other names linked with the Bandits included the German Stefan Bachuber and Swede Jonathan Forsgren. Tom Madsen, a Danish rider, will take the third heat leader place and Dean Felton will come in at second string. Peter Johnson remains favourite for the remaining reserve place.
Prospects: Berwick look like bankers for bottom
place at this stage but a lot can change. Last season Berwick employed 13 riders plus guests. Expect a repeat this year!
Stoke Potters
The Stoke team seems is based on two heat leaders
(Paul Pickering, and Paul Fry) and three good seconds strings in Rene Aas, Tony
Atkin and Mark Burrows. Rob Clarence and ice specialist Wayne Broadhurst will be at
reserve.
Prospects: Much though I would like to
see the Potters prosper this season for the sake of their support, I can
see them struggling. They lack a cutting edge at the top with too little
support likely to be available for Pickering. Paul Fry seems to be fading and may
struggle to maintain his average. They will probably be weak at the bottom end.
They are likely to be solid in the middle order but this may not be enough to avoid
the bottom three.
Northern Teams
Edinburgh, Glasgow, Berwick, and Newcastle.
Central Teams
Sheffield, Swindon, Stoke, and Workington.
Southern Teams
,Exeter, Newport, Reading, Isle of Wight, and Arena Essex.